Category Archives: Republicans

House Republicans, lacking a viable defense of the President, throw a tantrum

Quote of the day:

“But none of the 13 Republicans who spoke defended Trump on the central allegation that he had pushed Ukraine to investigate Democrats while blocking military aid that had been approved for Kyiv.” — “Republicans storm closed-door impeachment hearing as escalating Ukraine scandal threatens Trump,” Washington Post

A group of Republican Congressmen, led by Matt Gaetz (“I led over 30 of my colleagues into the SCIF where Adam Schiff is holding secret impeachment depositions. Still inside — more details to come.”), put on a “dramatic protest,” made “process arguments,” “sidestepped the substance” of the case against Trump, and complained about “the private nature” of the hearings.

But “none of the 13 Republicans who spoke defended Trump on the central allegation ….”

After Ambassador William Taylor’s testimony at yesterday’s hearing confirmed Trump’s demand to Ukrainian President Zelensky of a quid pro quo before release of military funds, a diversionary circus was the best ‘defense’ Republicans could offer. Reminiscent of the Brooks Brothers riot (the inspiration for the spectacle perhaps?), today’s performance piece may please the President, but — though it generated a 5 hour delay (and offered an occasion for the restive Congressmen to order out for pizza) — it is unlikely to derail the impeachment inquiry. And what do Republicans, unable to embrace Trump’s treachery, do tomorrow?

(Image: Fox News video.)

GOP Congressman open to impeachment has decided not to seek reelection in a safe Republican district

Congressman Francis Rooney said on Thursday that he would not rule out impeaching President Donald Trump. Following Mick Mulvaney’s acknowledgement that there was a quid pro quo directing the hold on Ukrainian military funds, Rooney told CNN, “Whatever might have been gray and unclear before is certainly clear right nowthat the actions were related to getting someone in the Ukraine to do these things. As you put on there, Senator Murkowski said it perfectly: We’re not to use political power and prestige for political gain.”

The statement was newsworthy because Rooney is a current Republican member of Congress, whose Florida district Trump carried by 22 points in 2016, and a word from the President could imperil the Congressman’s 2020 primary bid. The latter fact, of course, is why Trump has so few critics in the GOP Congressional caucus.

But now the political dissonance has disappeared: Rooney has announced that he will not seek reelection. With this decision, his future is no longer hostage to a vengeful president. Rooney is free to speak out.

While this may not be a tale of political courage, the Congressman’s decision to express his concerns and his decision to leave office are significant. Both are signs, however faint, of principled life within the GOP. And there’s hardly a surfeit of that nowadays.

As Trump amps up abuses of power, most Republican Senators shelter in place

October 7, 2019 update: Cable news anchors can’t get Repubicans to come on the air to defend Trump.

Michael Calderone of Politico on Twitter.

But when the NBA makes the wrong geopolitical call, watch out.

“The idea of China interfering in the sanctity of the NBA is somehow incredibly offensive to them, whereas the same standard for American elections results in the sound of crickets.” Jake Tapper in an interview with Politico

Original post:

“This president doesn’t appear to know or care much about the Constitution, especially the limits it puts on his power.

. . .

Trump took an oath to defend the Constitution. Instead, he’s attacking it — by inflating and abusing his powers, ignoring laws he swore to protect and demanding unconstitutional reprisals against anyone who opposes him.”Doyle McManus, in Sunday morning’s Los Angeles Times

The headline and sub head in Sunday’s print edition conveys the gist of the column — “A constitutional blind eye: Trump neither knows nor respects how our basic law limits his power” — which contrasts the President’s view of his power under Article II with the view of the founders.

McManus doesn’t mention checks and balances — which are referenced throughout the Federalist Papers (including Madison’s No. 51, “The Structure of the Government Must Furnish the Proper Checks and Balances Between the Different Departments“). It turns out that among the most important checks on a president is the Congress, established in Article I of the Constitution.

An ELECTIVE DESPOTISM was not the government we fought for; but one which should not only be founded on free principles, but in which the powers of government should be so divided and balanced among several bodies of magistracy, as that no one could transcend their legal limits, without being effectually checked and restrained by the others. (Madison, Federalist No. 48.)

As Trump approaches 1,000 days in office (on October 17, 10 days from now), a recurring question has been, When will Congress step up and check the President? An Iowan put the question to Senator Joni Ernst last weekend:

Where is the line? When are you guys going to say, ‘Enough,’ and stand up and say, ‘You know what? I’m not backing any of this.’ ”

That’s a question for every Republican in the U.S. Senate, almost all of whom — while Mitch McConnell campaigns on a promise not to hold Trump accountable — have responded (as Mara Liasson reported) by “sheltering in place.”

Charlie Cook (who also used the expression, shelter in place) had an answer in July:

“Those who can’t understand why elected Republicans and party officials don’t stand up to Trump seem to miss a point. The survival instinct in humans is a powerful one. In anticipating human behavior, it should always be kept in mind. The track record of what happened to those who did is pretty clear. They lost primaries or chose retirement. Instead, for many pre-tea-party Republicans, the strategy has been to shelter in place. The thinking goes that there is nothing that can be done to stop Hurricane Donald. The key is to survive the storm and be in a position to put the pieces back together and rebuild the party after it has passed. They know that the final edition of Profiles in Courage has already gone to the printer.

Cook references pre-tea-party Republicans, those who (mostly in silence) still embrace conservative principles (who hope to put the pieces back together and rebuild the party post-Trump). That’s not everyone in the Senate, of course:

Ron Johnson exasperated Chuck Todd with his conspiracy-propaganda defense that has found support only in the conservative media bubble and Trump’s tweets. (“Senator Johnson–Senator Johnson, please! Can we please answer the question I asked you instead of trying to make Donald Trump feel better here that you are not criticizing him?!”)

And of course Lindsey Graham is determined not to be outdone on any given day by anyone else in the caucus. “If the whistleblower’s allegations are turned into an impeachment article, it’s imperative that the whistleblower be interviewed in public, under oath and cross-examined.”

Most Senate Republicans, however, are in a bunker, because when allies back up Trump, he often pulls the rug out from under them. As Robert Costa and Philip Rucker report, “…few Republican lawmakers have been willing to fully parrot White House talking points because they believe they lack credibility or fret they could be contradicted by new discoveries.

“Everyone is getting a little shaky at this point,” said Brendan Buck, who was counselor to former House speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.). “Members have gotten out on a limb with this president many times only to have it be cut off by the president. They know he’s erratic, and this is a completely unsteady and developing situation.”

The few who might harbor thoughts of opposing Trump are even less likely to speak out. As former Senator Jeff Flake put it, “There is a concern that he’ll get through it and he’ll exact revenge on those who didn’t stand with him.

The founders didn’t expect Profiles in Courage. They anticipated men acting badly, but believed that institutional checks would hold. Personal ambition and rival interests, both good motives and bad, were all part of the equation:

Ambition must be made to counteract ambition. The interest of the man must be connected with the constitutional rights of the place. It may be a reflection on human nature, that such devices should be necessary to control the abuses of government. But what is government itself, but the greatest of all reflections on human nature? If men were angels, no government would be necessary. If angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary. In framing a government which is to be administered by men over men, the great difficulty lies in this: you must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself. A dependence on the people is, no doubt, the primary control on the government; but experience has taught mankind the necessity of auxiliary precautions. This policy of supplying, by opposite and rival interests, the defect of better motives, might be traced through the whole system of human affairs, private as well as public.

They expected personal ambition, “opposite and rival interests,” and perhaps even institutional pride (or, in less positive terms, institutional jealousy) to be incentive enough to check an errant president.

But when Trump holds sway over Republican primary voters, and is ready to exact revenge for disloyalty, personal ambition requires sheltering in place.

Marco Rubio was ambitious. (“And two weeks from tonight, right here in Florida, we are going to send a message loud and clear.  We are going to send a message that the party of Lincoln and Reagan and the presidency of the United States will never be held by a con artist.” Trump beat Rubio by 18 points in the Florida primary.

Lil’ Marco” is now pretending that Trump’s soliciting foreign help in an American election is just a joke, “just needling the press.”

Ted Cruz, (initially) declined to endorse Donald Trump in 2016 remarking, “History isn’t kind to the man who holds Mussolini’s jacket,” but has come back into the fold of Trump’s Republican Party.

Given this environment, could Republicans break from Trump?

Nobody wants to be the zebra that strays from the pack and gets gobbled up by the lion,” a former senior administration official said in assessing the current consensus among Senate Republicans. “They have to hold hands and jump simultaneously … Then Trump is immediately no longer president and the power he can exert over them and the punishment he can inflict is, in the snap of a finger, almost completely erased.”

Expecting Republican Senators to “hold hands and jump simultaneously,” between now and November 3, 2020, even as we learn more about Trump’s extortion of Ukraine, is far fetched.

If the story metastasizes far beyond where we are now, might 3 or 4 Republican Senators vote for impeachment? I would regard that as a victory.

Meanwhile, Republican Senators can be expected to fall into 3 camps. From the first camp, we’ll see an avalanche of lies, diversions, attacks on Democrats and the media, and a bottomless narrative of grievance.

From the second camp, we’ll hear tut-tutting and murmurs of disapproval, but the conduct will not rise to the level of impeachment.

And, a third possibility, 1 or 2 or 3 (or ?) Republican Senators will acknowledge that Trump’s misconduct is undeniable and renders him unfit to serve. At least we can hope that this category is not a null set by the time the Senate votes on impeachment.

(Image: the Capitol via wikipedia.)

GOP response to facts damning to Trump: denial, diversion, accusations & embrace of victimhood

When the facts are damning, do anything you can to detract attention from those facts. Three experienced Republican leaders — House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Freedom Caucus-founder Jim Jordan, and Senator Lindsey Graham, always ready to flatter the President with contortions and contrivances — demonstrate how to avoid offering a simple, straightforward answer to an inconvenient question.

Watching the videos (linked to the tweets) is a lesson in subterfuge as practiced by a Republican Party too fearful of the President to acknowledge wrongdoing. Observe Congress’s most vocal defenders of Trump in action on mainstream television:

1. Leader McCarthy listens to Scott Pelley read one of the most talked about exchanges from the memo on Trump’s phone call to President Zelensky.

McCarthy responds: “Well, you just added another word.” Pelley assures him that the word “is in the White House transcript.”

McCarthy pivots and begins a reply, “When I read the transcript …,” by repeating talking points that Republicans distributed last week to Members of Congress. While McCarthy denies having seen those talking points, it’s obvious from his comment about the “added” word that he hasn’t read the transcript — or hasn’t retained what he read. (Not ready for prime time.)

2. Jake Tapper interviews Congressman Jim Jordan, one of the most aggressive practitioners of deflection and whataboutism in the House.

Tapper: I understand you want to change the subject, but the President was pushing the president of Ukraine to investigate a political rival. I cannot believe that that is okay with you. I can’t believe it’s okay with you.

Jordan: It’s not okay because — but he didn’t do that.

Tapper: … It’s in the transcript. We all read it.

Jordan: I read the transcript.

But of course, if he has, he doesn’t want to talk about it. Instead, he throws out accusations against the Bidens, whines about Trump’s victimhood at the hands of the FBI, but — talking fast and loud — won’t acknowledge the simple facts related straightforwardly in the White House transcript. (Finally Tapper has had enough and concludes the interview.)

3. And, last but not least, the Senator from South Carolina: Among the highlights of the interview with Margaret Brennan, is Graham’s complaint about hearsay (“a second hand account,” as the GOP talking point puts it).

Bennan points out that the whistleblower’s account has been confirmed by the White House transcript of the call. The facts don’t matter to Graham. He invokes hearsay multiple times, makes the false claim that “they changed the rules” about hearsay and whistleblowers, and — like Jordan — offers a long diatribe about Trump being persecuted. (And nary a glance at the facts that have been confirmed already.)

(Image: Steely Dan’s Pretzel Logic album cover.)

With outrage after outrage, Republicans continue to tolerate Trump’s lawlessness

Quote of the day (on the prospects for impeachment):

“As long as Republicans choose to stay relatively united, either in denying evidence of Trump’s malfeasance or claiming that there’s nothing wrong with it, then Democrats will be unable to generate enough constituent pressure to change their minds. Whatever evidence is turned up, Republicans probably can brazen it out if that’s what they really want, regardless of the damage it does to U.S. democracy. So that leaves one question for them: Is this really what you want?”Jonathan Bernstein, Bloomberg

  1. Is this really what Republicans want? That’s what I’m betting on for the foreseeable future.
  2. And, if that changes between now and November 3, 2020, I’ll wager that it won’t be a July 2019 phone call, or a Justice Department cover-up of that call, that prompts Republicans to recalibrate their support for Trump. It will be something else (almost certainly a number of something elses). Congressional Republicans, with relentless air cover from Fox News and the conservative media, haven’t budged from Trump’s corner up till now, willingly shrugging off the consequences for democratic institutions and the rule of law. They can weather this episode as well.
  3. Instead, we’ll see little more than baby steps to placate critics – such as McConnell’s sudden reversal yesterday on election security funding.
  4. On the column that Bernstein didn’t write: while Democrats “can’t do much about this by themselves,” it has been disheartening to watch the hapless efforts of the House Judiciary Committee to tell the story of Trump’s corruption.  (I had such high hopes in early June. Now, not so much.)

(Image: Gage Skidmore, Flickr.)

Senator Sheldon Whitehouse lobs a warning to SCOTUS’s Republican men

Earlier this month Senator Sheldon Whitehouse and four of his Democratic colleagues filed a remarkable amicus curiae brief in a gun control case before the Supreme Court. The message to the five men appointed by Republican presidents to the high court was direct and unflattering.

The conclusion – after an amply documented, well focused critique of the court and of the deep-pocketed interests whose dark money has shaped the court: “The Supreme Court is not well. And the people know it. Perhaps the Court can heal itself before the public demands it be ‘restructured in order to reduce the influence of politics.’ Particularly on the urgent issue of gun control, a nation desperately needs it to heal.”

A May 2019 Quinnipiac poll cited in the brief documents these public attitudes. The poll reported that 55 percent of Americans believe the Supreme Court is motivated mainly by politics and a majority believes that “Supreme Court should be restructured in order to reduce the influence of politics.” The reference to restructuring, of course, evokes Franklin Roosevelt’s proposal to pack the court.

Whatever the GOP stalwarts on the Court make of this, Republican commentators have reacted predictably. David French wrote in National Review, “It is easily the most malicious Supreme Court brief I’ve ever seen.” The Wall St. Journal described it as “an enemy of the court brief.” Ted Cruz tweeted, “Extremely concerning to see Senate Democrats threaten federal judges like this. If this isn’t an improper attempt to influence – read: OBSTRUCT – the highest court in the land, then I don’t know what is.”  

And let’s not leave out Lindsay Graham: “Packing the Supreme Court… Bad idea. Liberal dream. Trump’s 3rd term is looking better and better!”

On the other side of the aisle, Ian Milhiser (whose book, Injustices: The Supreme Court’s History of Comforting the Comfortable and Afflicting the Afflicted, reflects his view of the court’s malign influence throughout most of U.S. history) agreed that the brief was hardly typical (though he didn’t get bent out of shape about it):

A tone of ritualized obsequiousness pervades most briefs filed in the Supreme Court of the United States. Judges are powerful and at the Supreme Court level, unaccountable. They wield enormous, arbitrary power not just over litigants but over the lawyers who appear in their courtrooms. So when most lawyers speak to a court, they speak with a painful awareness of the arbitrary control separating the bar from the bench.

Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), however, is not most lawyers.

Senator Whitehouse with Senators Mazie Hirono, Richard Blumenthal, Dick Durbin, and Kirsten Gillibrand are unsparing in their brief, which opposes standing for the plaintiffs in the case (New York State Rifle and Pistol Association Inc v. City of New York, New York). Straightforwardly, since the gun group objected to a New York City ban on transporting guns, and the city has repealed the law, the case would appear to be moot. But the court rejected a petition from NYC to declare the case moot.

The brief portrays the petitioners as deep-pocketed special interests openly promoting a political project:

Confident that a Court majority assures their success, petitioners laid their cards on the table: “The project this Court began in Heller and McDonald cannot end with those precedents,” petitioners submit.

The brief notes that, at this stage, there is no live legal question before the court, no grounds for standing, but that gun rights advocates believe that, with Trump’s appointees on the bench, they are headed toward a victory.

Noting that this “effort did not emerge in a vacuum,” the brief documents the NRA’s $1.2 million television campaign in support of Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the court (because he would “break the tie” in Second Amendment cases) and the campaign against a Democratic Senator who opposed the nomination.

Further, a Federalist Society publication suggested that “the logjam has been cleared” with Justice Kavanaugh replacing Kennedy on the court. The brief continued, “This commentary is of particular note because it was published by an organization that has such a prominent role in the Republican Party’s efforts to shape the federal judiciary in favor of donor interests,” and references the Executive Vice President of the Federalist Society, Leonard Leo (whom Politico describes as “the quiet architect of a pivotal shift to the right throughout the federal judiciary”), linking him to “a million-dollar contribution to the NRA’s lobbying arm, and to a $250 million network largely funded by anonymous donors to promote right-wing causes and judicial nominees.”

The brief observes, “The Society counts over eighty-six percent of Trump administration nominees to circuit courts of appeal and to this Court as active members,” and comments on the “massive political spending,” largely from dark money, that funded this effort. In a footnote, the brief quotes former White House counsel Donald McGahn (of Mueller report fame):

Our opponents of judicial nominees frequently claim the president has outsourced his selection of judges. That is completely false. I’ve been a member of the Federalist Society since law school—still am. So, frankly, it seems like it’s been insourced.

“The influence effort directed at this Court has been industrialized. In this particular ‘project’ to rewrite and expand the Second Amendment, petitioners are flanked by an army of nearly sixty amici.” But, the brief argues, since the donors are hidden from view, it is impossible to know how widespread the support is. “Were there … transparency, this amicus army would likely be revealed as more akin to marionettes controlled by a puppetmaster than to a groundswell of support rallying to a cause.”

In contrast:

Out in the real world, Americans are murdered each day with firearms in classrooms or movie theaters or churches or city streets, and a generation of preschoolers is being trained in active-shooter survival drills. In the cloistered confines of this Court, and notwithstanding the public imperatives of these massacres, the NRA and its allies brashly presume, in word and deed, that they have a friendly audience for their “project.”

Conservatives reject principles, embrace activism

Since the law the plaintiffs objected to has been struck down, the case – by all appearances – is moot.  The brief quotes both John Jay, the court’s first chief justice, and John Roberts, the current chief justice, to the same effect: the judiciary was not established to settle hypothetical disagreements. Benjamin Cardozo (former SCOTUS justice nominated by Herbert Hoover) is invoked, rejecting the notion that a judge is “a knight-errant, roaming at will in pursuit of his own ideal of beauty or of goodness,” and, again, Roberts, cautioning that the Supreme Court “is not a legislature,” though “It can be tempting for judges to confuse [their] own preferences with the requirements of the law.”

Be that as it may, recently – as the Federalist Society project has found greater success – Republicans on the bench have begun to abandon conservative judicial principles: principles that they have embraced in the past. When Clarence Thomas sought confirmation before the Senate Judiciary Committee in 1991, he said that “you cannot simply, because you have the votes, begin to change the rules, to change precedent.” That was then. This is now (Thomas in 2019): “When faced with a demonstrably erroneous precedent, my rule is simple: We should not follow it.”

The pattern of outcomes is striking; and so is the frequency with which these 5-4 majorities disregarded “conservative” judicial principles like judicial restraint, originalism, stare decisis, and even federalism.

The brief cites this record: From the term beginning October 2005 through the term beginning October 2017, the Supreme Court issued 78 5-4 (or 5-3) opinions in which the majority consisted solely of Republican-appointed justices. “In 73 of these 5-4 decisions, the cases concerned interests important to the big funders, corporate influencers, and political base of the Republican Party.” In every case, the justices ruled in favor of the Republican Party’s interests.

With bare partisan majorities, the Court has influenced sensitive areas like voting rights, partisan gerrymandering, dark money, union power, regulation of pollution, corporate liability, and access to federal court, particularly regarding civil rights and discrimination in the workplace. Every single time, the corporate and Republican political interests prevailed.

The pattern, and the abandonment of conservative legal principles in favor of partisan activism (which I’ve documented in previous posts), is clear. Add the Federalist Society’s decades-long campaign and the unprecedented refusal of the U.S. Senate – once Republicans gained control of the chamber – to confirm Barack Obama’s appellate court nominees, to hold hearings on Merrick Garland’s nomination, to adhere to the ‘blue slip’ rule, and so on. And then add Brett Kavanaugh’s unhinged, aggrieved, conspiratorial hate-fest directed at the Clintons and the Democratic Party during his confirmation hearings, and we begin to hear talk of restructuring the court.

Fair enough. So, why did Whitehouse and company file this brief? The Senator rejects the accusation that he was threatening the court.

“In the same way that you might warn somebody walking out on thin ice — ‘Hey, the ice is thin out there, you want to be careful, maybe you want to come in’ — I think that was the motivation for filing this brief.”

But what a warning. “This filing is a badass move by these Senate Democrats. The Republican justices on the Supreme Court should be on notice that the public is quickly losing faith in the court as a legitimate institution.” — Brian Fallon, Executive Director of Demand Justice

Lawrence Tribe wasn’t as enthusiastic about putting the Republican men on notice: “I agree the Court should drop this case as moot and am usually a fan of @SenWhitehouse but I think this brief was inappropriately — and stupidly— threatening. If anything is calculated to get the Court’s back up, it’s a brief like this. Really bad move.”

Professor Tribe made a career out of shaping arguments to appeal to one or another of a series of Republican-appointed swing justices, so – okay – he wouldn’t have written this. Presumably he would have been aiming to influence the current swing justice, John Roberts, though he is much further to the right than swing justices in previous decades.

So, should Whitehouse have focused narrowly on standing, rather than unleashing his grand critique? Should he, if he insisted on raising the broad issues in the brief, have tread more gently? Well, I suppose so, if his intent were to influence John Roberts — that is, unless Whitehouse concluded that bluntness, or (contra his denial) a threat, or perhaps authenticity conveyed through a more direct message, would be more effective at influencing the chief justice.

Or this may be a case of senators being senators, of Whitehouse, Hirono, Blumenthal, Durbin, and Gillibrand just sounding off because they’ve had enough of SCOTUS’s Republican men, and of McConnell and Graham and Cruz and Trump … They might be justified in thinking: Why should Democratic Senators feel constrained about offending the shameless partisans in Donald Trump’s corner? (It’s a different era, Professor Tribe. Those old tricks have seen their day.)

Jonathan Chait writes today about the book American Carnage:

The most interesting revelation in Alberta’s book may be the degree to which Republicans convinced themselves of their own lofty rhetoric. When he predicted that he and his allies would resist Trump’s authoritarianism, thereby proving that their opposition to Obama was genuine, Mulvaney clearly believed it. And when Ted Cruz told his aides during the primaries, “History isn’t kind to the man who holds Mussolini’s jacket,” he surely had no idea what lay in store for him. If Trump has accomplished anything, it is to force Republicans to see their party and themselves a little more clearly.

Well, maybe. If so, then perhaps that’s what’s behind the Whitehouse brief. The five Republican men, if they read the brief, may be ‘forced’ to see themselves a little more clearly. Could that be the point?

Here’s another possibility. Dissenting justices don’t write their opinions to change the minds of sitting justices in the majority, so much as they write to influence future justices. Their hope is that their views will capture majorities at a time that has yet to come.

This amicus brief may be speaking to future justices, to law professors and students, to Democratic officeholders and activists, and perhaps to the four women and men on the court appointed by Democratic presidents.

This may be a shout out to allies. It may serve to lay the groundwork for future decisions and future campaigns.

It cheered me. I’m sure it cheered others. That may be reason enough to have filed it.

(Image: wikipedia.)

Just how many liberals are there in this center-right nation?

“In 2018, for the first time, a majority of Democrats said they considered themselves to be “liberal,” according to Gallup. At 51 percent, the 2018 share is only 1 point greater than the share of Democrats who identified as liberal in 2017, but it’s very different from how Democrats’ political ideologies broke down in the 1990s and early 2000s.” — Janie Velencia, FiveThirtyEight

The same poll revealed that among all Americans, not just Democrats, 26% identified as liberal. (That’s the chart on the left in the image above.) The same poll revealed that 35% of Americans identified as conservative and 35% embraced the moderate label, which is why the U.S. is often referred to as ‘center-right.’

Meanwhile, James Stimson, a political scientist who has been measuring the public policy preferences of Americans since 1952, has found that Americans are more liberal than at any time in the 68 years since he has been doing the survey.  (That’s the chart on the right.) The 2018 result: support among Americans for government action — that is, for liberal public policies — stands at 69%.

That’s quite a difference. Why? Because the first survey asks Americans to self-identify; in other words, to choose the label that best describes their political ideology.

The second survey, on the other hand, doesn’t ask Americans to label themselves; instead it asks their opinions on a range of issues (background checks for gun purchases [which weighs in with 89% support], Medicare for all who want it [70%], government regulation of prescription drug prices [67%], a pathway to citizenship for immigrants in the U.S. illegally [64%], and so on). The Public Policy Mood survey crunches the numbers to get a result based on actual policy preferences of Americans.

That 69% is just a shade above the previous high, recorded in 1962, in an era when faith in government to right wrongs and to offer protection to Americans (with the passage of Medicare, Medicaid, civil rights and voting rights legislation, and so on).

In other words, as the authors of Asymmetric Politics noted, Americans are ideologically conservative (they think of themselves as conservative) and operationally liberal (they endorse the liberal policies that benefit them and their neighbors). So, Democrats campaign on specific issues: healthcare coverage for preexisting conditions, lowering prescription drug prices, offering a public option …; while Republicans campaign on ideology: linking Democrats with the Democratic Socialists of America and labeling them as “far to the left” and of course as “socialists.”

Yesterday, Gregory Koger highlighted the Public Policy Mood results to explain several strategic choices that Democrats and Republicans have made as we head into the 2020 elections, including the decision by Republicans to hit hard on socialism (“an extreme ideological label”), even though that didn’t work for them in 2018.

(Image composed of two charts: left, from FiveThirtyEight, and right, from Mischiefs of Faction.)

The Trump administration is destroying the country’s governing capacity

After Jonathan Bernstein (“The Long, Slow Destruction of the U.S. Government”) lists disheartening examples from Thursday of ways the Trump administration is “destroying the U.S. government,” and briefly reviews previous misdeeds, he aptly sums things up in the quote of the day:

“… [T]here’s nothing systematic about any of what’s happening here. No plan. No strategy. No effort to separate the worthwhile from the worthless. It’s just basically random attacks on random pieces of the government. It will take years to recover from. In some ways, perhaps the nation will never recover. 
As with the failure to fill positions with confirmed presidential nominees, it’s always possible that some of this will lead to very visible catastrophic failure. But what’s more likely is just an erosion of the capacity of the nation. We won’t necessarily be able to connect the dots when things go wrong, but there will be effects, and they are likely to stretch out into the future.”

Yeah. I take his point. Trump’s notable weaknesses as an executive and every personality flaw are at play — so the actions appear random and senseless.

My first thought (I guess it’s an obsession) is: Where are the responsible leaders of the Republican Party? We hear a murmur here and there, regarding this or that action, or this resignation, or that nomination, or the failure to nominate … but the debacle continues unabated.

These guys are just going along for the ride. As long as they can lower taxes for the GOP donor class, gut regulation across the board, and stack the courts with ideologues — what’s not to like?

But this moment’s reflection provides the insight on the grand plan at work. From Ronald Reagan’s “Government is not the solution to our problem, government is the problem,” to Grover Norquist’s “I don’t want to abolish government. I simply want to reduce it to the size where I can drag it into the bathroom and drown it in the bathtub,” through Newt Gingrich’s deliberate campaign to undermine public trust in our governing institutions and Mitch McConnell’s embrace of dysfunction and implacable opposition to bipartisan policy making, movement conservatism has been committed to a long term strategy of diminishing the size and scope and stature of government.

If government becomes less effective, less responsive, less capable — so be it. If the capacity of government and the reservoir of public trust disintegrate — so be it.

The Republican Party is in thrall of an ideology. Conservative doctrine hasn’t changed much since the country put Reagan in the White House. Movement conservatives purged the liberals and moderates from the GOP. Then they went after the pragmatists. They have beaten back reliance on science, empirical evidence, and a rational process of making policy when these conflicted with conservative doctrine (as they must from time to time). And, more recently, they have been willing to shame or oust Republicans who have resisted the authoritarian impulses, the sowing of racial and ethnic discord, the affection for dictators, the self-dealing, the chaos, and much else that Donald Trump has ushered in.

Most Republicans in office have chosen to go along to get along — so long as it doesn’t threaten their next bid for reelection. Does that count as a plan?

One might object that conservative ideology, circa 1980, didn’t entail stupidity or overreach or hate. That wasn’t the plan. Perhaps not.

But conservative true believers from the beginning demanded fidelity to the one true cause (as they defined it). And over the past four decades, as the movement has advanced and grown more powerful, they have become relentlessly more rapacious, less open to accommodation of their political foes, and unalterably opposed to dissenting voices. We have reached a point where collateral damage to democratic institutions, to the country’s economy, and to the public welfare warrants no more than a shrug, if preserving these things stands in the way of conservative victories.

There may be a point at which a substantial number of Republican office holders choose to step back from inevitable devotion to (what passes for) conservatism. There may be a point where principle or patriotism, where the Constitution or a diverse body politic, or where a fundamental sense of right and wrong trumps conformity to conservative dogma (as mediated by Fox News, et al.).

Thus far, there are few signs that this day is imminent. Instead, we have the plan, the system, the strategy of the conservative movement: fidelity, come what may, to an intractable ideology. Start down this path and, even when things turn stupid and ugly, there’s no way out of the cul de sac.

(Image from wikipedia.)

Moscow Mitch once embraced his dark side, but a mean nickname has hurt his feelings

In May, Politico reported that Mitch McConnell reveled in his critics’ view of him as a villain (“because there’s almost no downside unless he somehow finds himself in a competitive general election”). Certainly, the man is a master of tribal warfare, who has never exhibited any shame.

When John Brennan showed the Gang of Eight evidence of Russian interference in the 2016 election, and sought to craft a bipartisan statement for the American people, McConnell turned a blind eye to the evidence and replied, “You’re trying to screw the Republican candidate.”

By all accounts, partisan advantage for McConnell trumps consistency of principle, the preservation of democratic norms, and, yes, even defense of our nation’s security — and up till now, the senior senator from Kentucky seemed fine with his reputation for “unhinged partisanship” (to borrow McConnell’s phrase).

But, when MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough dubbed McConnell “Moscow Mitch” and the Washington Post’s Dana Milbank suggested that the senator was a Russian asset, they struck a nerve.

Could — “somehow” — McConnell “find himself in a competitive general election” in 2020? Is he anxious that his new nickname, and charges of covering for Putin’s Russia, might threaten his safe reelection?

Yes, that’s a long shot. But in the Trump era, it’s hard to take anything for granted. So much could go wrong in the next 16 months.

(Image courtesy of Kentucky Democrats.)

“Infested. It sounds like vermin. . . . subhuman.” — Wallace; “It’s fair to have that conversation.” — Mulvaney

There is a clear pattern here, Mick,” Chris Wallace says and goes on to describe Donald Trump’s dehumanizing language directed always at people who happen not to have white skin. “Infested. It sounds like vermin. It sounds subhuman. And these are all six Members of Congress who are people of color.”

Mick Mulvaney responds: “I think you’re spending way too much time reading between the lines.”

Wallace: “I’m not reading between the lines. I’m reading the lines.”

Mulvaney scrambles to divert attention from the pattern of Trump’s smears by raising the possibility that if Adam Schiff had criticized Trump’s border policies, then Trump could be directing these comments at Schiff.

Wallace interjects: “I don’t think he’d be talking about his crime-infested, rodent-infested district.”

Mulvaney plows ahead, insisting that if Trump were directing these insults at Schiff, this would not be because Schiff is Jewish.

Mulvaney: “This is what the President does. He fights. And he’s not wrong to do so.”

Mulvaney continues talking, still diverting attention from Trump’s vilification of black and brown Members of Congress and minority Congressional districts. Sticking to (the non-existent, but hypothetically possible) criticism of Schiff, Mulvaney castigates California: “The richest state in the nation. The richest state in the nation has abject poverty like that. A state, by the way, dominated for generations by Democrats.”

Mulvaney’s audience of one may have found this defense convincing. Then again, Mulvaney’s comments might be aimed much more broadly (“… Trump’s advisers had concluded after the previous tweets that the overall message sent by such attacks is good for the president among his political base — resonating strongly with the white working-class voters he needs to win reelection in 2020.”).