Tag Archives: Jonathan Chait

Attorney General Bill Barr will go to any lengths to do Donald Trump’s bidding

Donald Trump’s Attorney General, Bill Barr, spoke at Hillsdale College yesterday. While his remarks on numerous themes drew a great deal of attention, Dahlia Lithwick focuses on his continuing attempts — with Trump — to undermine confidence in balloting on November 3 (“Bill Barr Would Like to Undermine Your Faith in the Election”).

Barr, like Trump, is no longer content to blame foreigners and malign faceless vote tamperers. He also warned Kass that greedy mail carriers were apt to get in on the action: “A secret vote prevents selling and buying votes. So now we’re back in the business of selling and buying votes. Capricious distribution of ballots means (ballot) harvesting, undue influence, outright coercion, paying off a postman, here’s a few hundred dollars, give me some of your ballots.” Just to recap, then: Your mail-in ballot is unsafe because foreigners want to forge it, Democratic governors want to steal it, antifa operatives plan to harvest it, oh, and Dot, your friendly neighborhood letter carrier will also gladly break the law in order to sell it. This narrative need not be provable or coherent; it’s enough that it’s rinsed and repeated on a near-daily basis in the media.

What Barr is actually performing here is the time-honored, Bannon-christened, Putin-sanctioned electoral practice known formally as flooding the zone with shit. What he wants most of all is for voters to doubt the capacity for the November election to be conducted fairly. That is why he told Blitzer that any effort to make voting safer in the midst of a pandemic—and of course that’s what the push for mail-in balloting was attempting to redress—is by definition tantamount to “playing with fire.” Under the pretense of concern for voter confidence, Barr jowlishly invents one reason after another to undermine it. . . .

Jonathan Chait, though he focuses on criminal prosecutions, observes that Barr and Trump are in sync regarding the role of the DOJ (“William Barr Lays Out Terrifying Theory for Corrupting Justice Department”):

Barr’s philosophy of the Justice Department is functionally indistinguishable from Donald Trump’s. The main difference is the level of sophistication in which they are expressed. Trump’s view is summarized by his aphorism “The other side is where there are crimes” — which is to say, by definition, Trump and his allies are innocent and whatever his opponents are doing is illegal. It’s either “lock her up!” or “dirty cops!,” depending on which party is at issue. Barr’s theories have multisyllabic terms and are decorated with historical references but boil down to the same two-track approach to justice.

Bill Barr is the Attorney General Donald Trump has long sought. Trump complained to Don McGahn [as quoted in the Mueller Report, v. II, p. 50], “I don’t have a lawyer,” and expressed the wish that Roy Cohn were his attorney.

Bill Barr will go to any lengths — will “invent one reason after another” and employ “multisyllabic terms that are decorated with historical references” — to do Trump’s bidding.

“I’m not a doctor, but I’m, like, a person that has a good you-know-what” — President Donald Trump

The President of the United States brainstorms at a coronavirus briefing.

Jesse Watters: The President’s spitballing and he’s asking questions. ‘Would it be possible to maybe target the virus through a cure using certain ingredients and using sunlight?‘ You didn’t believe the President was putting anyone in danger, did you?

Dr. Deborah Birx: No. He gets new information. He likes to talk that through out loud. And really have that dialogue. And so that’s what dialogue he was having. I think he just saw the information at the time, immediately before the press conference. And he was still digesting that information.

Out loud on live television in a briefing to provide information and reassurance to the American public.

While some of the usual suspects jumped to Trump’s defense — among the most relentless, Scott Adams, who has decided that critics who disagree about the brilliance of Trump’s riffing on a cure, must lack intelligence …

— but mostly, even those in Trump’s camp, perceived the obvious: this wasn’t the time or place for musings that could have been spoken by a grade school student after learning that sunlight is a disinfectant. Parsing the words to win a Twitter argument misses the point. (Of course this is straight out of a well-worn playbook: missing the point is the point.)

Jonathan Chait suggested:

If Trump’s presidency has demonstrated any scientific principle, it is the Dunning-Kruger effect, which describes how people who have a low ability to perform a task tend to overestimate their own ability to do it — or, to oversimplify it, they are too incompetent to recognize their own incompetence. “Maybe you can, maybe you can’t,” Trump allowed. “I’m not a doctor. But I’m like a person that has a good you know what,” tapping his head to indicate his gigantic brain.

Philip Bump and Ashley Parker (“Thirteen hours of Trump: the president fills briefings with attacks and boasts, but little empathy”) describe Thursday’s coronavirus briefing:

President Trump strode to the lectern in the White House briefing room Thursday and, for just over an hour, attacked his rivals, dismissing Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden as a “sleepy guy in a basement of a house” and lambasting the media as “fake news” and “lamestream.”

He showered praise on himself and his team, repeatedly touting the “great job” they were doing as he spoke of the “tremendous progress” being made toward a vaccine and how “phenomenally” the nation was faring in terms of mortality.

What he did not do was offer any sympathy for the 2,081 Americans who were reported dead from the coronavirus on that day alone — among nearly 53,000 Americans who have perished since the pandemic began.

They document, in detail, how these briefings have morphed into (what Parker has dubbed) the Coronavirus Show, featuring self-congratulations, attacks on the media and political rivals, fabrications by the President, and often medical advice from a man who is “not a doctor.”

“Like his campaign rallies, the president’s portion of the daily briefings are rife with misinformation. Over the past three weeks, 87 of his comments or answers — a full 47 minutes — included factually inaccurate comments.”

This is what passes for leadership in a country that with any other president in recent memory (or with John McCain, Mitt Romney, or Hillary Clinton) — would have by this time (even if one or another of them might have been caught flat-footed initially) a national strategy to defeat the coronavirus.

Moreover, the world is a witness. The pandemic:

is shaking fundamental assumptions about American exceptionalism — the special role the United States played for decades after World War II as the reach of its values and power made it a global leader and example to the world.

Today it is leading in a different way: More than 840,000 Americans have been diagnosed with Covid-19 and at least 46,784 have died from it, more than anywhere else in the world.

Yet Trump’s catastrophic failures, and his aversion to accountability, are not as significant politically as the Republican Party’s continuing obeisance to him. Never mind the mounting deaths — soon to exceed the number of Americans killed in the Vietnam War over two decades. Never mind our country’s declining influence and security across the globe. The GOP is getting tax cuts, deregulation, and judicial appointments.

Would Elizabeth Warren lead Democrats to victory or spoil their prospects in 2020?

“Tall and wiry, Warren visibly thrums with good cheer. She’s got that kind of pert friendliness stretched taut around a core of steel that some foreigners find confusing in certain willful Americans. But in Warren, both the chipper facade and the steel guts feel genuine: She is a very nice lady who will put up with exactly zero bullcrap.” —  Julia Ioffe, “The Summer of Warren.”

Five months ago, Markos Moulitsas approvingly quoted a Daily Kos reader, Fatherflot, who described Elizabeth Warren’s attempt to distinguish herself from Hillary Clinton with this observation:

Instead of the aloof insider-technocrat, she is promoting herself as a kind of “Mary Poppins” figure — the cheerful, exuberant, uber-competent woman who simply gets things done and makes everyone feel included and proud.

Sounds good to me, but then I fit the demographic profile of a Warren supporter. College educated white liberal who lives in solid blue California. My first vote for president was for George McGovern. I am a Democrat first and foremost because of my conviction that the economy should not be stacked against middle- and working-class Americans.

Warren is my first choice for president. But should I be scared away? As Warren’s polling numbers increase, a number of Wall Street executives are in near-panic because she might win the presidency (“From corporate boardrooms to breakfast meetings, investor conferences to charity galas, Ms. Warren’s rise in the Democratic primary polls is rattling bankers, investors and their affluent clients, who see in the Massachusetts senator a formidable opponent who could damage not only their industry but their way of life.”), while Democrats are voicing alarm that she is taking stands, most especially her uncompromising embrace of Medicare for All, that could ensure her defeat. Jonathan Chait is typical of this group of Democrats: “If Warren wants to beat Trump, she needs to ditch Bernie’s health-care plan and come up with one that doesn’t have political poison pills.” (Chait’s observation came before Warren doubled down with her written plan to pay for Medicare for All.)

Recent polling serves to increase Democratic anxieties. Medicare for All is popular among Democratic activists; it is unpopular among registered voters. (I have opposed Medicare for All on both policy and political grounds – at least in the foreseeable future.)

Chart from Thomas Edsall, “Democrats Can Still Seize the Center.” Numbers from Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, “U.S. Voters Support Expanding Medicare but Not Eliminating Private Health Insurance.”

In recent polling, among Democratic voters, 63% supported Medicare for All. Among all registered voters, 56% opposed it.

Warren is a persuasive advocate – in a classroom or before a live audience in Iowa. (The house lights are on when she speaks: “I don’t want to be in a theater where I’m on stage and the audience is in the dark. This is not a performance, this is a chance to engage, for all of us in the room to think about what’s happening to our country, to our lives, and I need to see faces when I’m talking through that.”) But as the campaign transitions from retail to wholesale, and the Republican noise machine trains its focus on the one Democrat left standing, Medicare for All is going to be a very hard sell (and Warren seems to be digging in, rather than anticipating a pivot during the general election).

And then there’s this:

From Nate Cohn, New York Times.

There is a full year before Election Day, and a lot can change. Ms. Warren is an energetic campaigner. She could moderate her image or energize young and nonwhite voters, including the millions who might not yet even be included in a poll of today’s registered voters. Mr. Biden could lose the relatively conservative voters who currently back him; the president could be dealt irreparable political damage during the impeachment process.

But on average over the last three cycles, head-to-head polls a year ahead of the election have been as close to the final result as those taken the day before. The stability of the president’s approval rating is a reason to think this pattern might hold again for a fourth cycle, at least for the three leading and already well-known Democrats tested in these polls.

What Democrats make of this picture is undoubtedly in the eye of the beholder. As I think of Joe Biden’s performance to date, his marginal polling advantage a year out doesn’t make me more likely to support him in the primary. I’d rather put my faith in Elizabeth Warren’s skill at communicating with conviction a message for working Americans.

Jonathan Chait, who is clearly worried about Warren, nonetheless acknowledges her skill set: “She is a compelling orator with a sympathetic life story and a gift for explaining complex ideas in simple terms. Yet she has spent most of the last year positioning herself as if the general election will never happen. At the moment, I’d feel very nervous betting the future of American democracy on Warren’s ability to defeat Trump. But a lot can change in a year, and it’s not hard to imagine the Warren of 2020 as a potent challenger.”

I’m not one to panic. But I certainly recall the jolt of Trump’s victory. The week before election day in 2016, I was reassuring my friends that Hillary Clinton would win by sending them this confident tweet from David Plouffe:

“Clinton path to 300+ rock solid. Structure of race not affected by Comey’s reckless irresponsibility. Vote and volunteer, don’t fret or wet.” 11:05 am – 30 October 2016

I wasn’t a worrier – not until about the time the polls were closing in California (when I first tuned-in to TV coverage). There had been too many reassurances from Plouffe (and many others) throughout the months preceding that tweet. I’m part of the reality-based community. I was too well-informed to fret or wet.

I’m still not a worrier. I have no trouble envisaging a Democratic victory – 12 months hence – no matter who is nominated. Time will tell.

In the meantime, as a Californian, it doesn’t much matter what I think. Not yet. In 2020, as in so many previous elections, caucus goers in Iowa and primary voters in New Hampshire are going to shape or reshape the race. I was on board with Obama and Clinton before Iowa in 2008 and 2016, respectively. In the years before that, I was as often annoyed, rather than pleased by the choices of Democrats in those early states.

For now, I can only wait and watch.

(Image by Mary Shepard circa 1934.)

Reality TV POTUS revels in his election as “one of the greatest nights in the history of television”

Quote of the day wherein Donald Trump relives the night he bested Hillary Clinton in the Electoral College:

“We won incredible states. We won Wisconsin. We won Michigan. We won Pennsylvania. We won North Carolina. We won South Carolina. We won Florida. What a run. You remember the evening that we won?
That was one of the greatest nights in the history of television.
 … It was one of the highest rated evenings in the history of television. You add up all those networks
.” – Donald Trump at Minneapolis campaign rally

Jonathan Chait observed that Trump, an indefatigable TV-watcher, always bored with his prepared remarks, delights in going off script to talk about himself as mediated through coverage in the media, especially on television. In Minneapolis yesterday, Trump name-checked many Fox News on-air personalities who flatter him and raved about high TV ratings for his 2016 election victory.

Earlier this week, George Conway reviewed episode after episode of Trump’s erratic and abnormal behavior that renders him incapable of fulfilling the duties of the presidency. The Constitution anticipated that the president would act as a fiduciary on behalf of the country. Based on what we’ve seen, this hasn’t occurred to Trump, who can’t avert his gaze from himself.

While Conway places (as an organizing device) Trump’s observable behavior within the diagnostic criteria for narcissism and sociopathy, he sets aside the issue of a medical diagnosis. What we – the public, not mental health professionals – have witnessed in plain sight demonstrates Trump’s unfitness to serve as president.

Trump is obsessed with sustaining a self-image as exceedingly superior others, who in turn – he is convinced – conspicuously admire him. He perceives every occasion, every decision, everything that comes before him as important only insofar as it casts him in a special light.

While I’m not on board with Conway’s insistence the Congress must call on psychologists and psychiatrists to affirm Trump’s incapacity, I credit him with making the case that Trump can’t safeguard the public interest, because he is impaired by an inescapable self-regard:

“From the evidence, it appears that he simply can’t stop himself from putting his own interests above the nation’s.”

(Image: @realDonaldTrump on Twitter.)

Senator Sheldon Whitehouse lobs a warning to SCOTUS’s Republican men

Earlier this month Senator Sheldon Whitehouse and four of his Democratic colleagues filed a remarkable amicus curiae brief in a gun control case before the Supreme Court. The message to the five men appointed by Republican presidents to the high court was direct and unflattering.

The conclusion – after an amply documented, well focused critique of the court and of the deep-pocketed interests whose dark money has shaped the court: “The Supreme Court is not well. And the people know it. Perhaps the Court can heal itself before the public demands it be ‘restructured in order to reduce the influence of politics.’ Particularly on the urgent issue of gun control, a nation desperately needs it to heal.”

A May 2019 Quinnipiac poll cited in the brief documents these public attitudes. The poll reported that 55 percent of Americans believe the Supreme Court is motivated mainly by politics and a majority believes that “Supreme Court should be restructured in order to reduce the influence of politics.” The reference to restructuring, of course, evokes Franklin Roosevelt’s proposal to pack the court.

Whatever the GOP stalwarts on the Court make of this, Republican commentators have reacted predictably. David French wrote in National Review, “It is easily the most malicious Supreme Court brief I’ve ever seen.” The Wall St. Journal described it as “an enemy of the court brief.” Ted Cruz tweeted, “Extremely concerning to see Senate Democrats threaten federal judges like this. If this isn’t an improper attempt to influence – read: OBSTRUCT – the highest court in the land, then I don’t know what is.”  

And let’s not leave out Lindsay Graham: “Packing the Supreme Court… Bad idea. Liberal dream. Trump’s 3rd term is looking better and better!”

On the other side of the aisle, Ian Milhiser (whose book, Injustices: The Supreme Court’s History of Comforting the Comfortable and Afflicting the Afflicted, reflects his view of the court’s malign influence throughout most of U.S. history) agreed that the brief was hardly typical (though he didn’t get bent out of shape about it):

A tone of ritualized obsequiousness pervades most briefs filed in the Supreme Court of the United States. Judges are powerful and at the Supreme Court level, unaccountable. They wield enormous, arbitrary power not just over litigants but over the lawyers who appear in their courtrooms. So when most lawyers speak to a court, they speak with a painful awareness of the arbitrary control separating the bar from the bench.

Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), however, is not most lawyers.

Senator Whitehouse with Senators Mazie Hirono, Richard Blumenthal, Dick Durbin, and Kirsten Gillibrand are unsparing in their brief, which opposes standing for the plaintiffs in the case (New York State Rifle and Pistol Association Inc v. City of New York, New York). Straightforwardly, since the gun group objected to a New York City ban on transporting guns, and the city has repealed the law, the case would appear to be moot. But the court rejected a petition from NYC to declare the case moot.

The brief portrays the petitioners as deep-pocketed special interests openly promoting a political project:

Confident that a Court majority assures their success, petitioners laid their cards on the table: “The project this Court began in Heller and McDonald cannot end with those precedents,” petitioners submit.

The brief notes that, at this stage, there is no live legal question before the court, no grounds for standing, but that gun rights advocates believe that, with Trump’s appointees on the bench, they are headed toward a victory.

Noting that this “effort did not emerge in a vacuum,” the brief documents the NRA’s $1.2 million television campaign in support of Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the court (because he would “break the tie” in Second Amendment cases) and the campaign against a Democratic Senator who opposed the nomination.

Further, a Federalist Society publication suggested that “the logjam has been cleared” with Justice Kavanaugh replacing Kennedy on the court. The brief continued, “This commentary is of particular note because it was published by an organization that has such a prominent role in the Republican Party’s efforts to shape the federal judiciary in favor of donor interests,” and references the Executive Vice President of the Federalist Society, Leonard Leo (whom Politico describes as “the quiet architect of a pivotal shift to the right throughout the federal judiciary”), linking him to “a million-dollar contribution to the NRA’s lobbying arm, and to a $250 million network largely funded by anonymous donors to promote right-wing causes and judicial nominees.”

The brief observes, “The Society counts over eighty-six percent of Trump administration nominees to circuit courts of appeal and to this Court as active members,” and comments on the “massive political spending,” largely from dark money, that funded this effort. In a footnote, the brief quotes former White House counsel Donald McGahn (of Mueller report fame):

Our opponents of judicial nominees frequently claim the president has outsourced his selection of judges. That is completely false. I’ve been a member of the Federalist Society since law school—still am. So, frankly, it seems like it’s been insourced.

“The influence effort directed at this Court has been industrialized. In this particular ‘project’ to rewrite and expand the Second Amendment, petitioners are flanked by an army of nearly sixty amici.” But, the brief argues, since the donors are hidden from view, it is impossible to know how widespread the support is. “Were there … transparency, this amicus army would likely be revealed as more akin to marionettes controlled by a puppetmaster than to a groundswell of support rallying to a cause.”

In contrast:

Out in the real world, Americans are murdered each day with firearms in classrooms or movie theaters or churches or city streets, and a generation of preschoolers is being trained in active-shooter survival drills. In the cloistered confines of this Court, and notwithstanding the public imperatives of these massacres, the NRA and its allies brashly presume, in word and deed, that they have a friendly audience for their “project.”

Conservatives reject principles, embrace activism

Since the law the plaintiffs objected to has been struck down, the case – by all appearances – is moot.  The brief quotes both John Jay, the court’s first chief justice, and John Roberts, the current chief justice, to the same effect: the judiciary was not established to settle hypothetical disagreements. Benjamin Cardozo (former SCOTUS justice nominated by Herbert Hoover) is invoked, rejecting the notion that a judge is “a knight-errant, roaming at will in pursuit of his own ideal of beauty or of goodness,” and, again, Roberts, cautioning that the Supreme Court “is not a legislature,” though “It can be tempting for judges to confuse [their] own preferences with the requirements of the law.”

Be that as it may, recently – as the Federalist Society project has found greater success – Republicans on the bench have begun to abandon conservative judicial principles: principles that they have embraced in the past. When Clarence Thomas sought confirmation before the Senate Judiciary Committee in 1991, he said that “you cannot simply, because you have the votes, begin to change the rules, to change precedent.” That was then. This is now (Thomas in 2019): “When faced with a demonstrably erroneous precedent, my rule is simple: We should not follow it.”

The pattern of outcomes is striking; and so is the frequency with which these 5-4 majorities disregarded “conservative” judicial principles like judicial restraint, originalism, stare decisis, and even federalism.

The brief cites this record: From the term beginning October 2005 through the term beginning October 2017, the Supreme Court issued 78 5-4 (or 5-3) opinions in which the majority consisted solely of Republican-appointed justices. “In 73 of these 5-4 decisions, the cases concerned interests important to the big funders, corporate influencers, and political base of the Republican Party.” In every case, the justices ruled in favor of the Republican Party’s interests.

With bare partisan majorities, the Court has influenced sensitive areas like voting rights, partisan gerrymandering, dark money, union power, regulation of pollution, corporate liability, and access to federal court, particularly regarding civil rights and discrimination in the workplace. Every single time, the corporate and Republican political interests prevailed.

The pattern, and the abandonment of conservative legal principles in favor of partisan activism (which I’ve documented in previous posts), is clear. Add the Federalist Society’s decades-long campaign and the unprecedented refusal of the U.S. Senate – once Republicans gained control of the chamber – to confirm Barack Obama’s appellate court nominees, to hold hearings on Merrick Garland’s nomination, to adhere to the ‘blue slip’ rule, and so on. And then add Brett Kavanaugh’s unhinged, aggrieved, conspiratorial hate-fest directed at the Clintons and the Democratic Party during his confirmation hearings, and we begin to hear talk of restructuring the court.

Fair enough. So, why did Whitehouse and company file this brief? The Senator rejects the accusation that he was threatening the court.

“In the same way that you might warn somebody walking out on thin ice — ‘Hey, the ice is thin out there, you want to be careful, maybe you want to come in’ — I think that was the motivation for filing this brief.”

But what a warning. “This filing is a badass move by these Senate Democrats. The Republican justices on the Supreme Court should be on notice that the public is quickly losing faith in the court as a legitimate institution.” — Brian Fallon, Executive Director of Demand Justice

Lawrence Tribe wasn’t as enthusiastic about putting the Republican men on notice: “I agree the Court should drop this case as moot and am usually a fan of @SenWhitehouse but I think this brief was inappropriately — and stupidly— threatening. If anything is calculated to get the Court’s back up, it’s a brief like this. Really bad move.”

Professor Tribe made a career out of shaping arguments to appeal to one or another of a series of Republican-appointed swing justices, so – okay – he wouldn’t have written this. Presumably he would have been aiming to influence the current swing justice, John Roberts, though he is much further to the right than swing justices in previous decades.

So, should Whitehouse have focused narrowly on standing, rather than unleashing his grand critique? Should he, if he insisted on raising the broad issues in the brief, have tread more gently? Well, I suppose so, if his intent were to influence John Roberts — that is, unless Whitehouse concluded that bluntness, or (contra his denial) a threat, or perhaps authenticity conveyed through a more direct message, would be more effective at influencing the chief justice.

Or this may be a case of senators being senators, of Whitehouse, Hirono, Blumenthal, Durbin, and Gillibrand just sounding off because they’ve had enough of SCOTUS’s Republican men, and of McConnell and Graham and Cruz and Trump … They might be justified in thinking: Why should Democratic Senators feel constrained about offending the shameless partisans in Donald Trump’s corner? (It’s a different era, Professor Tribe. Those old tricks have seen their day.)

Jonathan Chait writes today about the book American Carnage:

The most interesting revelation in Alberta’s book may be the degree to which Republicans convinced themselves of their own lofty rhetoric. When he predicted that he and his allies would resist Trump’s authoritarianism, thereby proving that their opposition to Obama was genuine, Mulvaney clearly believed it. And when Ted Cruz told his aides during the primaries, “History isn’t kind to the man who holds Mussolini’s jacket,” he surely had no idea what lay in store for him. If Trump has accomplished anything, it is to force Republicans to see their party and themselves a little more clearly.

Well, maybe. If so, then perhaps that’s what’s behind the Whitehouse brief. The five Republican men, if they read the brief, may be ‘forced’ to see themselves a little more clearly. Could that be the point?

Here’s another possibility. Dissenting justices don’t write their opinions to change the minds of sitting justices in the majority, so much as they write to influence future justices. Their hope is that their views will capture majorities at a time that has yet to come.

This amicus brief may be speaking to future justices, to law professors and students, to Democratic officeholders and activists, and perhaps to the four women and men on the court appointed by Democratic presidents.

This may be a shout out to allies. It may serve to lay the groundwork for future decisions and future campaigns.

It cheered me. I’m sure it cheered others. That may be reason enough to have filed it.

(Image: wikipedia.)