Tag Archives: Coronavirus

Trump is obsessed (on Twitter) with losing the election, but can’t be bothered to do his job

December is shaping up to be the U.S.’s worst month of the pandemic by a significant margin . . .”

First-time claims for unemployment insurance totaled 853,000, an increase from the upwardly revised 716,000 total a week before, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting 730,000.”

Days after several US agencies confirmed their networks were compromised in a massive data breach, federal officials are still struggling to understand the scope of the damage — highlighting the sophistication and breadth of an ongoing hacking campaign that has been tied to Russia.”

What’s Donald Trump thinking about? Let’s look at a sampling of the 34 tweets and retweets he has blasted out in the past 24 hours: The great majority related to his bogus claims that he won the election (“We won Wisconsin big. They rigged the vote,” “We won the Presidential Election by a lot,” and “Just released data shows many thousands of noncitizens voted in Nevada.“), including a Washington Examiner report of Peter Navarro’s 36-page report on “voting irregularities“; complaints about “so-called ‘Republicans,‘ ” in Georgia who won’t agree to “give us the State“; and no less than ten tweets and retweets commending Tommy Tuberman, who heaps praise on Trump and “may save the Republic” by disrupting the Electoral College count in January as a man of courage, in contrast to Republican senators who lack toughness.

Trump also offers swipes at the Supreme Court and the New York Times, insists that “I have NOTHING to do with the potential prosecution of Hunter Biden, or the Biden family. It is just more Fake News,” and offers more than one tweet each regarding Liz Cheney, Peter Strzok (adding a complaint about “the Russia hoax), and a Daily Caller report of a move to strip Lincoln’s name from a high school. Trump’s nod to legislation is a threat to veto the defense bill, which mentions Lindsey Graham’s attacks on social media companies.

Trump’s references to the pandemic (“the China virus”) include four tweets on the vaccine, including the approval of Moderna’s candidate and praise for the FedEx and UPS drivers delivering the doses across the country and three retweets of Buck Sexton, who couches his insistence that “Masks work” is no more than a mantra and his ridicule of California’s failures to stem the rate of infections as defenses of freedom of speech.

Trump references the economy — that is, the rising stock market, not unemployment or struggling businesses on Main Street — once (one of his four tweets referencing the vaccine): “All-time Stock Market high. The Vaccine and the Vaccine rollout are getting the best of reviews. Moving along really well. Get those “shots” everyone! Also, stimulus talks looking very good.”

He hasn’t tweeted (or spoken of) the Russian incursion into U.S. government and corporate databases, much less offered criticism of Putin’s mischief or assurances of taking any action to counter the threat.

Thirty-three days to go until January 20. Joe Biden will have his hands full.

(Image from “Donald Trump: A Study in Leadership.”)

Our elites are failing us — California edition

Los Angeles Times columnist Robin Abcarian had three questions for Governor Gavin Newsom this week:

Why did Newsom attend his friend’s birthday party on Nov. 6 when he was telling his constituents to do one thing (dine in alone), while he and his wife did another (dined out with friends)?

How sincere was his subsequent apology following the very public spanking he received after the San Francisco Chronicle broke the news that he’d broken the rules?

And why does our governor hang out with a lobbyist who is trying to influence him on behalf of clients?

As question number two suggests, the governor — once he was caught — did apologize. (This puts him into a different category than, say, Donald Trump. But that’s a pretty low bar.)

The governor explained, after getting caught, that though he knows he was wrong, at least the dinner was outside. Perhaps it was, but the party began inside.

And as if this weren’t bad enough, it turns out a couple of officials from the California Medical Association were among the partiers. That would be CMA CEO Dustin Corcoran and the association’s top lobbyist Janus Norman.

On July 2, I posted that Governor Newsom’s quick action in mid-March to impose a statewide shelter-in-place order (following early action by Bay Area counties) “cast California’s political leadership in a good light and protected Californians before the virus had gotten out of control,” but that the guv’s subsequent actions cast doubt on his pledge to base his decisions on science and public health data.

Now we learn that Newsom has one standard for the public and another for himself and his friends. And apparently we can say the same thing about the leadership of the California Medical Association.

And then there’s this: “Legislators from California and other states are gathering for an annual conference in Maui this week despite a spike in COVID-19 cases in the Golden State that resulted in travel warnings by health officials.

It has been confounding to live in Los Angeles County, which leads California with coronavirus cases and deaths, and trying to follow sensible steps (wearing masks, social distancing, avoiding gatherings — and being painfully separated from family and friends), while rates of infection, hospitalizations, and deaths increased because obviously so many people are flouting these sensible steps.

The political elite in California, by the way, is overwhelmingly Democratic. These folks are committed — just ask them — to science, equality, social justice, and (of course) public health.

Robin Abacrian advises us that the governor paid for his own dinner. “That’s a relief,” she notes, “because if he hadn’t, he’d be in violation of the California law that says lobbyists can only cover $10 of a public official’s meal.

By the way, entrees at the French Laundry are $350 each. That’s a cool $700 for the Newsoms. Of course we don’t know what wine they had. And I couldn’t say if dessert was extra. Was there a cake?

(Image of one of two daily menus at the French Laundry.)

A contagious Trump, back at White House/Walter Reed Hospital Annex, preens and postures as a strongman

NBC News via YouTube.

A sick man with access to the finest, state of the art therapies and exceptional medical doctors, returns to his residence. With all the resources of the federal government available, he is as safe and secure as if he were still tucked into a bed next to the presidential suite at Walter Reed, which is a ten-minute helicopter ride away.

Heedless of anyone else’s welfare, he has revealed (time and time and time and time and time again) — in the face of more than 210,000 American deaths and 7 million infections — his character for all to see.

(Another tell on the man’s character: Neither the White House, nor Trump’s physicians have answered questions about the President’s most recent negative test. While Trump has repeatedly claimed that he is tested everyday, that’s difficult to take at face value. The test is hardly comfortable. I suspect that the would-be strongman has been unwilling to submit to daily testing.)

Sean Hannity, a master of misdirection and duplicity, proclaims a great man — on par with Churchill and FDR.

HANNITY: Remember 1933 during the height of The Great Depression, my father was growing up in those years, on the brink of a World War. Franklin Delano Roosevelt proclaiming we have nothing to fear but fear itself. A reminder. 

[CLIP BEGINS]

PRESIDENT FRANKLIN DELANO ROOSEVELT: Let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself. Nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror. Which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance. 

[CLIP ENDS]

HANNITY: And on the other side of the Atlantic — 1940 — the great Winston Churchill echoed this fearless call to action. A powerful address. Victory at all costs. Victory in spite of all terror. Victory however long and hard the road may be, for without victory, there is no survival. Remember this?

[CLIP BEGINS]

WINSTON CHURCHILL: I have nothing to offer but blood, toil, tears, and sweat. You ask, what is our aim? I can only say one word — Victory. Victory at all costs. Victory in spite of all terror. Victory, however long and hard the road may be, for without victory, there is no survival. 

[CLIP ENDS]

HANNITY: And during the bombing of Britain, where was he everyday? Going out, risking his life, being among the people of Great Britain. In times of great hardship you must fight for survival. And that is exactly what the President has done during this country’s battle against COVID-19. 

Not everyone will agree with that assessment. I suppose we might regard the campaign video Trump made immediately upon his return to the White House as a Rorschach test:

I just left Walter Reed Medical Center, and it’s really something very special– the doctors, the nurses, the first responders. And I learned so much about Coronavirus. And one thing that’s for certain, don’t let it dominate you. Don’t be afraid of it. You’re going to beat it. We have the best medical equipment. We have the best medicines, all developed recently. And you’re going to beat it.

I went, I didn’t feel so good. And two days ago– I could have left two days ago. Two days ago, I felt great, like better than I have in a long time. I said just recently, better than 20 years ago. Don’t let it dominate. Don’t let it take over your lives. Don’t let that happen.

We have the greatest country in the world. We’re going back. We’re going back to work. We’re going to be out front. As your leader, I had to do that. I knew there’s danger to it, but I had to do it. I stood out front. I led. Nobody that’s a leader would not do what I did. And I know there’s a risk. There’s a danger, but that’s OK. And now I’m better. And maybe I’m immune, I don’t know.

But don’t let it dominate your lives. Get out there. Be careful. We have the best medicines in the world. And there all happened very shortly, and they’re all getting approved. And the vaccines are coming momentarily. Thank you very much. And Walter Reed, what a group of people. Thank you very much.

A KFF poll last month revealed the remarkable faith of the Republican base — in spite of all evidence to the contrary — in Donald Trump’s commitment to preserving the ACA’s guarantee of coverage for pre-existing conditions.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/01/upshot/trump-pre-existing-conditions-polls.html

Said one voter: “I truly, in my heart of hearts, believe that even though he sometimes says things I don’t like, and acts in ways I wish he wouldn’t, I still think he has everybody’s best interest at heart.”

Will the Republican base — mistrustful of the mainstream media, medicine and science, and the liberal elite — accept Trump’s coronavirus worldview? Perhaps so. But that base, by November 3, may be considerably smaller than it was in November 2016.

Time will tell.

Donald Trump on the campaign trail, in the White House — and failing as a president

Just days after Donald Trump acknowledged on tape, and then in person, that he has deliberately downplayed the gravity of the coronavirus, he’s still at it at a campaign rally in Michigan:

. . . Tell your governor to open up your state!

You know, it’s all Democrat governors and I think they do it for political reasons, you know, because there’ll be less activity. You’d be doing even better if you had a governor who knew what the hell she was doing. You gotta open up the state. . . .

Trump-Pence campaign.

Trump’s fans are following his lead. Jim Acosta questions several rally goers:

Why are you guys not wearing masks?

“I had one with me. It’s my prerogative. …”

Sir, tell me, why are you not wearing a mask?

“Because there’s no COVID. It’s a fake pandemic created to destroy the United States of America. …”

Does it worry you guys at all to be in this crowded space with all these people?

“I’m not afraid. The good lord takes care of me. If I die, I die. We gotta get this country moving. …”

More than 192,000 Americans have died of COVID-19 — and counting. In the past three days (September 9, 10, and 11), more Americans died of COVID-19, than perished on 9-11 nineteen years ago today.

Meanwhile, Trump performs a skit to illustrate the threat to the suburbs if Joe Biden is elected.

Does anybody wanna have somebody from antifa as a member and as a resident of your suburb? I don’t think so.

‘Say, darling, who moved in next door?’

‘Oh, it’s a resident of antifa.’

‘No thank you. Let’s get outta here. Let’s get the hell outta here, darling. Let’s leave our suburbs. Aww, I wish Trump were president. He wouldn’t have allowed that to happen.’

That’s exactly right. I won’t allow it to happen.

https://twitter.com/andrewsolender/status/1304204048820830211
Trump on Twitter.

Aside from rallying his base, what’s Trump been up to? He describes how he spends his time and where he gets his information [spoiler alert: Watching TV — Fox Business Channel and Fox News Channel]:

… I watch some of the shows. I watched Lizzie MacDonald, she’s fantastic. I watched Fox Business. I watched Lou Dobbs last night. Sean Hannity last night. Tucker last night. Laura. I watched, uhh, Fox & Friends in the morning.

You watch these shows, uh, you don’t have to go too far into the details. They cover things that are – it’s really an amazing thing. …

Trump on Twitter.

Good to know “you don’t have to go very far into the details.” I’m sure Donald-Person-Woman-Man-Camera-TV-Trump grasped whatever Lizzie, Lou, Sean, Tucker, and his other Fox friends tried, without going very far into the details, to communicate to him.

Sarah Cooper.

Fifty-three days to go until November 3.

(Image: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver.)

“Here’s one. Well, right here, United States is lowest in numerous categories. We’re lower than the world.”

In the photo above, the President of the United States reviews a page displaying a bar chart with four long, wide colored bars that his staff has armed him with for his interview with Jonathan Swan of Axios.

As Donald Trump is wont to do, he spouts nonsense during several exchanges with Swan. He fails to acknowledge, or apparently even comprehend, the points Swan makes. I know Trump is a showman. I grant that he has no qualms about lying. But my take is: his confusion is genuine, not a charade adapted for television.

Unable to apprehend conclusive evidence of his own failure, he grasps at charts and notes on paper that — as is evident to anyone not constrained by blinders imposed by narcissism — can’t possibly relieve him of responsibility for a terrible, tragic death toll that continues to mount month after month in our country. (The current count: 156,426 Americans have lost their lives. It will be tens of thousands more by election day.)

And if I’m wrong, if Donald Trump is actually just putting on a show — playing dumb — that’s even more damning.

President Donald J. Trump: Take a look at some of these charts.

Jonathan Swan: I’d love to.

President: We’re gonna look.

Swan: Let’s look.

President: And, if you look at death —

Swan: Yeah. Started to go up again.

President: Here’s one. Well, right here, United States is lowest in numerous categories. We’re lower than the world.

Swan: Lower than the world? …

President: Lower than Europe.

Swan: In what? In what?

President: Take a look. Right there. Here’s case deaths.

Swan: Oh, you’re doing death as a proportion of cases. I’m talking about death as a proportion of population. That’s where the U.S. is really bad, much worse than South Korea, Germany, et cetera.

President: You can’t, you can’t do that.

Swan: Why can’t I do that?

President: You have to go by, you have to go by where — Look. Here is the United States. You have to go by the cases. The cases are there.

Swan: Why not as a proportion of population?

President: When you have somebody — What it says is, when you have somebody that has it, where there’s a case —

Swan: Oh, okay.

President: The people that live from those cases.

Swan: Oh. It’s surely a relevant statistic to say, if the U.S. has X population and X percentage of death of that population versus South Korea —

President: No. Because you have to go by the cases.

Swan: Well, look at South Korea, for example. 51 million population, 300 deaths. It’s like, it’s crazy compared to —

President: You don’t know that.

Swan: I do.

President: You don’t know that.

Swan: You think they’re faking their statistics, South Korea? An advanced country?

President: I won’t get into that because I have a very good relationship with the country.

Swan: Yeah.

President: But you don’t know that. And they have spikes. Look, here’s one of —

Swan: Germany, low, 9,000.

President: Here’s one. Here’s one right here, United States.

Swan: Let me look.

President: You take the number of cases.

Swan: Okay.

President: Now look, we’re last, meaning we’re first.

Swan: Last? I don’t know what we’re first in.

President: We have the best.

Swan: As a what?

President: Take a look again. It’s cases.

Swan: Okay. I’ll just … okay.

President: And we have cases because of the testing.

Swan: I mean, a thousand Americans die a day. But I understand. I understand on the cases, it’s different.

President: No, but you’re not reporting it correctly, Jonathan.

Swan: I think I am, but —

President: If you take a look at this other chart … look, this is our testing. I believe this is the testing. Yeah.

Swan: Yeah. We do more tests.

President: No, wait a minute. Well, don’t we get credit for that? And, because we do more tests, we have more cases. In other words, we test more. We have — Now, take a look. The top one, that’s a good thing not a bad thing. But the top … Jonathan — …

Swan: If hospitals rates were going down and deaths were going down, I’d say, ‘Terrific.’ You would deserve to be praised for testing.

President: Well, they don’t even —

Swan: But they are all going up.

President: Well, they very rarely talk —

Swan: Plus, 60,000 Americans are in hospital, A thousand dying a day.

President: If you watch the news or read the papers, they usually talk about new cases, new cases, new cases.

Swan: I’m talking about death.

President: Well, you look at death.

Swan: It’s going up.

President: Death is way down from where it was.

Swan: It’s a thousand a day.

President: Death —

Swan: It was two and a half thousand. It went down to 500. Now, it’s going up again.

President: Death — Excuse me. Where it was is much higher than where it is right now.

Swan: It went down and then it went up again.

President: It spiked, but now it’s going down again.

Swan: It’s going up.

President: It’s gone down in Arizona. It’s going down in Florida.

Swan: Nationally it’s going up.

President: It’s going down in Texas. Take a look at this. These are the tests.

Swan: It’s going down in Florida?

President: Yeah. It leveled out and it’s going down. That’s my report as of yesterday.

Memo to governors: Are you analyzing risks & benefits? or just winging it when you make policy choices?

Michael Hiltzik writes about the lack of progress, months after the country shut down, in battling the coronavirus. He quotes a physician on the faculty of UCLA’s Fielding School of Public Health:

We shut down the country for months, and didn’t do anything during that time to build the infrastructure and processes we needed. . . .

We didn’t use that time to build up our testing capacity, we didn’t think about schools in advance … — Dr. David Eisenman

In short we squandered the time, failing to take advantage of the pause in infections, and in many respects we are back to where we were in April — with shortages of PPE and inadequate testing and tracing — but the number of infections, the rate of infections, and the death toll have all risen, and the fall school term is only weeks away.

In an ideal world, there would be a national strategy in place, but because of an absence of leadership in the White House, responsibility for defeating the coronavirus has fallen to 50 state governors (plus leaders in D.C., Puerto Rico …).

At this stage, leadership at the state level has not served the country well. Watching the various states embrace (and reject) a hodgepodge of policies, and watching individual governors pivot first this way, then that, has hardly inspired confidence. In fact, policies have often been confounding and, if a coherent rationale for specific decisions exists, it has not always been visible.

Emily Oster, an economics professor at Brown University’s Watson Institute, suggests (“Risks & Benefits Matrix”) that governors could clarify their decisions — and I’ll add, make better decisions — if they compared (and revealed to us) risks and benefits of various activities to be permitted or restricted by their policy choices.

There is room for disagreement about social value, so it’s possible to decide that, say, opening bars and sporting events is more important than opening schools. But, let’s hear that choice articulated, so we know that at least the governor has thought things through and is willing to cop to his/her preferences.

Professor Oster offers this graph of her personal policy preferences. Parks (in the upper left quadrant) provide high benefit at low risk. In contrast, gyms and bars find their places in the lower right quadrant (high risk and, on her evaluation, low reward) activities. Opening schools is risky, but may be regarded as providing large rewards (top, right).

Graph from “Risks & Benefits” by Emily Oster.

In practice, of course, many governors appear to have valued bars and gyms more highly than K-12 schools. Other policy anomalies abound across the country.

I’m with Oster (and just as angry): “In my wildest dreams, I’d like to see each of our Governors give a press conference with a picture like this behind them which reflects their policies. It’s not that these policies aren’t defensible, but I would like to see people say: bars have a sufficiently high benefit that I’m prioritizing that over in-person schooling.

(Emily Oster provides the link to “COVID-19 Be Informed” image from the Texas Medical Association.)

Donald Trump is impatient for schools to open — but he doesn’t give a fig about children and Families

“In Germany, Denmark, Norway, Sweden … SCHOOLS ARE OPEN WITH NO PROBLEMS.”

Compare the number of new cases of coronavirus in the following countries. The totals for the first four countries are from Johns Hopkins’ Coronavirus Resource Center for July 8 (yesterday); the total for the U.S. for July 9 (today, just posted) is from the New York Times.

  • Germany – 356
  • Denmark – 12
  • Norway – 11
  • Sweden – 514
  • United States – 59,460

The CDC (along with Drs. Fauci and Birx, et al.) may recognize a difference in the rates of infection in the countries Trump says have opened schools with NO PROBLEMS and the country that he leads — or rather, has failed to lead.

Does anyone think — even in the red states and regions — that Donald Trump is concerned with the health and well-being of the nation’s children, or the teachers who lead our classrooms, or the families that the children go home to each evening?

Until the U.S. has gotten the upper hand on the coronavirus, it makes no sense to rush to reopen. And, sadly, tragically, this may not begin to happen until Donald Trump has left the White House.

Things are still getting worse. On his watch.

(Image: one room schoolhouse in Lincoln’s New Salem. [“Great president. Most people don’t even know he was a Republican.”])

Learn to live with it. Or die with it. Whatever. — Trump White House to Americans regarding out of control epidemic

“The virus is with us, but we need to live with it.”

After months of communicating mixed messages about the coronavirus, of making promises that weren’t kept and pronouncements that were plainly false, the Trump White House has belatedly recognized that “the virus is not going away any time soon — and will be around through the November election.”

NBC’s Carol Lee, Kristen Welker, and Monica Alba report that the administration and Trump’s reelection campaign has landed on a new message: Learn to live with it.

Predictions dating back nearly six months include: “the problem goes away in April”; on Easter Sunday there will be “packed churches all over our country”; “by Memorial Day weekend we will have this coronavirus behind us”; and by July the country will be “really rocking again.”

Trump has never made a genuine effort to squelch the virus (though he briefly posed as “a wartime president,” nothing came of that). The evidence suggests that Donald Trump is not much interested in governing. He has certainly been disinclined to craft a plan, marshal resources, and coordinate a national effort to defeat the coronavirus.

Trump has no plan to defeat the coronavirus and declines to make a plan. It is no wonder that none of the rosy predictions about the epidemic resolving itself have come to pass.

Throughout the first half of 2020, Trump has evaded accountability, while insisting that the nation’s governors are responsible for combating the coronavirus. And wishful thinking is still the order of the day. On Wednesday the President said:

I think we’re going to be very good with the coronavirus. I think that at some point that’s going to sort of just disappear, I hope.

But now — White House advisers tell NBC — they are ready to turn a corner, as they watch the economy reopen: “the White House is now pushing acceptance.”

As of July 4, 2020 (3 a.m.), the United States has had 2,794,153 cases of coronavirus and 129,434 deaths.

This graph from Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center shows what that looks like (in comparison with other hotspots in the world):

The United States leads the world in coronavirus cases.

As Donald Trump made the case in Tulsa for pushing aside concern with the coronavirus: “We have to get back to business. We have to get back to living our lives. Can’t do this any longer.” 

These infections, at this level, were not inevitable. The number of people who have died from coronavirus did not have to total more than one hundred twenty-nine thousand. Yet the spread of coronavirus and the number of deaths continue to increase — because Donald Trump has proved incapable and uninterested in leading a national effort to end this catastrophe.

Instead, the immediate future we will see more of the same. More infections. More pain and suffering. More deaths. And, at this stage, we can lay responsibility for virtually everything yet to come at the feet of Donald Trump.

A consistent theme of this blog is that the leadership of the Republican Party is complicit in whatever Donald Trump says and does. They made a Faustian bargain to lock arms with Trump and they’re not disentangling themselves. The devastation being wrought on our country now — and for the forseeable future — from coronavirus is also at the feet of the GOP. So I’m on board with Josh Marshall’s sentiments:

I seldom think anything good about Donald Trump. I hate what he has done to the country. I hold his enablers even more responsible for what has happened on his watch

Marshall concludes:

None of this had to happen. It is a failure of cataclysmic proportions. It has many roots. It has revealed many insufficiencies and failures in our society and institutions. But the scale of it, the unifying force of it is a man who never should have been president, who has abandoned his responsibility to lead and protect the country, making it every state for itself, a chaos only organized by a shiftless and shambling effort to help himself at all costs at every point.

The worst is yet to come.

(Image: NBC News report on mass graves of coronavirus victims at New York’s Hart Island in April.)

Why in the world is COVID-19 out of control in the United States, not the E.U., not China, not New Zealand, Not Canada, not South Korea, not . . . ?

Gavin Newsom’s impact during his eight years as Lieutenant Governor didn’t convince me to vote for him in California’s 2018 Democratic Primary. But, watching him in the early weeks of the coronavirus pandemic made a believer out of me. I was impressed by his timely, decisive actions in shutting down California before most of the country’s governors had any idea what was about to hit them.

More recently, as I suggested in my last post, the governor has stumbled.

Friday morning on NRP, Steve Inskeep interviewed Dr. Emily Landon, a University of Chicago epidemiologist, who has been advising the governor of Illinois. She offered an account of Illinois’ success in acting “early on” – with a March 21 stay-at-home order that prevented the situation that developed in New York and the Northeast. Because of this success, Illinois is about to enter phase four – with more reopenings, including restaurants for indoor dining, gyms, the lakefront path, and – soon – beaches. As she explained:

Certainly, these are still risky activities. There’s still more infection than we want to be having. But if people are following the rules, keeping distance, wearing their mask – if we can keep doing those things, then it should be safe enough for us to go back to doing some of these things that we used to enjoy before the pandemic.

 Inskeep responds that there are “some similarities between Illinois and California,” and notes that after California’s reopening, the virus has now returned with a vengeance, resulting in a second shutdown. Dr. Landon acknowledges that this is a cautionary tale. She says that “we need to understand better what’s happened in California,” but expresses confidence in the path Illinois is taking. She explains that

with respiratory viruses and with infection in general, there’s kind of a tipping point that happens where every case is able to spread to one or more other people on average. Then you have to do some very drastic things, like a stay-at-home order or really closing down a lot of public buildings and activities. So I don’t know exactly what’s putting California back into this situation. But I do know that if they do the same things that they did before, that it should be successful in curbing the spread of the virus.

Inskeep then turns to Dr. Ali Khan (at the University of Nebraska), who weighs in skeptically about the course Illinois is following. He points to data showing the number of cases in Illinois is increasing (from 550 in mid-June to 800) and suggests that the opening up is likely to bring further increases. (The Washington Post reported 912 cases in Illinois on July 3.) Dr. Khan continues:

But let me talk about what we’re seeing here – is this is now being shifted. And I’ve seen this now – multiple places are shifting the blame to individuals not doing what they’re supposed to be doing. I’ve not heard one person talk about test and trace. And so if you’re going to reopen, what are you doing to get cases down to zero? So no metrics. How much – you know, how soon does it take to isolate somebody? How many contacts are people following? How many cases are from contact list. So no, we cannot go back to what we did before successfully because we were not a success before because we had failed to do test and trace.

So there’s four elements of getting this disease under control. So yes, one is the community component which, is, where you mask. Social distance. And wash your hands. That’s just one component. And it’s not the primary component. The primary component is the state and the localities and the national responsibility to get cases down. Test and trace. Add that to leadership. And then add that to dropping deaths with dexamethasone. Those are the four things we need to do to become a success, just like Europe and countries like New Zealand that have eliminated the disease. So they have zero cases. And China has two cases in 1.4 billion people. We can do this in America.

I was impressed, early on, not only by Gavin Newsom, but by Los Angeles city and county officials. When officials at all three levels moved to reopen, however, I wasn’t in the least tempted to eat indoors at a restaurant or visit a hair salon, much less to attend a film at a movie theater or drop by a neighborhood bar. Granted, at age 70, I have reason to be more conscientious about maintaining physical distance and wearing a mask, than younger people do; and unlike governors, mayors, and county supervisors, I have no leadership responsibility for the welfare of the community (not public health, not economic well-being). But (based on everything I’ve learned by reading about this virus), these reopenings seemed rushed to me. And, earlier this week, both city and county testing facilities had run out of appointments. While in California, as in much of the nation, there isn’t enough testing, this month the state has halted efforts to increase testing.

Dr. Landon’s emphasis on individual choices — “… if people are following the rules, keeping distance, wearing their mask – if we can keep doing those things …” and if people “do the same things that they did before …” – is a shaky foundation to rely on. We need to lean instead on safe, sound public policies (beyond injunctions concerning individual behavior). As Dr. Kahn notes, the other elements of a sound plan – including testing and tracing – have been neglected.

Color me highly skeptical that Illinois will escape the same flareups that most states are experiencing. Illinois, like other states before it, is reopening before gaining the upper hand on the coronavirus.

Until we gain the upper hand, reopening with the hope that the virus will somehow disappear is foolhardy.

Post Script: To put our individual choices in perspective, the Washington Post did a Q and A: “How Fauci and 5 other experts handle masking, haircuts, doctor’s appointments and more.” I’ll note that all six were in sync with me on two questions at the top of my list: All of them went grocery shopping (wearing masks and keeping their distance) and none of the six were willing to eat inside a restaurant.

(Image: Photo of Il Capriccio on Vermont, July 4.)

Trouble in Paradise: California struggles to defeat the coronavirus and change police culture

Defeating the coronavirus

Seven counties in the San Francisco Bay Area issued “sweeping shelter-in-place” orders on March 16. Reaction was predictable: “Public health experts praised the region’s action, while residents, business owners and workers were divided. Some welcomed the restrictions as necessary for the common good, while others feared they could threaten jobs and livelihoods, doing more harm than the virus itself.”

Governor Gavin Newsom followed with a statewide order three days later. These orders, sound steps to ensure public health, cast California’s political leadership in a good light and protected Californians before the virus had gotten out of control.

No longer. In spite of Governor Newsom’s vow, “Protests won’t drive our decision making. Political pressure will not drive our decision making. The science, the data public health will drive our decision making,” he was under intense pressure to reopen (a dynamic in red and blue states alike). People’s livelihoods were at stake. Not to mention government revenues to fund public programs and services.

To to get businesses up and running again and employees back at work, Governor Newsom shifted the criteria for reopening safely and permitted local governments to rush to reopen. By May 26, public health officials were pushing back against Newsom’s increasingly aggressive reopening timeline.

Three and a half months after California began to shut down, and then began to reopen, the Golden State is among numerous states that have experienced an out of control coronavirus. While the rate of infection (15 per 100,000) is not as high as in eight other states — Arizona (43); Florida (34): South Carolina (28); Nevada (22);  Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas  (20 each); and Georgia (19) — California is the nation’s most populous state. The number of people affected, with 237,068 cases and 6,152 total deaths, eclipses the impact felt in smaller states.

In blue states (which promised that data, not political pressure would drive decision making) as well as red (where following Donald Trump’s lead has been the dominant impulse), the United States has become an international outlier. This nation — an international leader in medical innovation — has bungled the response to the pandemic so thoroughly that it is now among the countries whose residents are banned from entering Europe.

Chart from vox.com

Of course the United States’ primary policy failures have been at the national level. While this crisis cried out for national leadership, Trump has steadfastly refused to take on the challenge. That left 50 state governors (plus leaders in D.C., Puerto Rico, and Guam) on their own. If that patchwork of policy responses – and the inevitable counterproductive competition among states for PPE and other resources to fight the pandemic – were not challenging enough, Trump told his base that reports of the pandemic were overblown, “fake news” generated by the mainstream media; he rejected wearing facial coverings as signals of disapproval of him; and criticized governors who imposed social distancing restrictions. Thus, simple, sensible measures to defeat the virus have been met with resistance every step of the way – in blue states and red states alike.

Republican men, who are particularly in thrall of Trump, are most likely to spurn sound guidance (when the President spurns it), but other folks (and not just Trump fans) have been misled by the mixed messages communicated by the President of the United States, his administration, his campaign, and a host of media enablers (led by Fox News Channel).

For a few weeks it appeared that states, individually and in concert, were on track to defeat this virus. The absence of national leadership and a unifying message, the refusal to marshal resources and coordinate a response across the country, and Trump’s deliberate undermining of governors determined to protect public health have defeated us. This calamity has starkly revealed Donald Trump’s unfitness for the office he holds. He is incapable of performing his job and declines to try.

While other countries have found a great measure of success, the United States will be wrestling with coronavirus for the rest of Trump’s first term – and well beyond.

Changing police culture

For many weeks across the country we’ve seen protests seeking to end pervasive discrimination based on race, with a special focus on law enforcement practices and policies that put Black men, especially, and Black women in harm’s way. Especially since 911, many police forces have leaned toward militarization, which clashes with more collaborative models of community policing.

Obviously, this problem isn’t confined to red states. The Los Angeles Police Department has a history of both militaristic and racially biased law enforcement. In 1965 (Watts) and again in 1992 (Rodney King), Black neighborhoods, sparked by anger over policing in the city, erupted in violence. While neighborhoods didn’t burn after the O.J. Simpson acquittal (1995), Black reaction to the verdict was undoubtedly influenced by LAPD Officer Mark Fuhrman’s taped interviews featuring racial slurs, tales of police brutality, and boasts of planting evidence.

LAPD circa 2020 is more than a generation removed from Daryl Gates’ department. We have seen significant changes since then. But there are still police shootings of unarmed suspects, including mentally ill individuals, and during street protests following George Floyd’s murder, there were numerous instances of police conduct that resembled the meting out of ‘street justice’ or torrents of uncontrolled anger, rather than disciplined law enforcement.

Image from the Telegraph on YouTube.

In full-page ads, which ran in the Los Angeles Times, the San Jose Mercury News, and the Washington Post, the San Jose Police Officers Association, the San Francisco Police Officer Association, and the Los Angeles Police Protective League calling for police reforms: “No words can convey our collective disgust and sorrow for the murder of George Floyd,” said the statement, continuing, “We have an obligation as a profession and as human beings to express our sorrow by taking action.”

The statement acknowledged the existence of racist police officers but pledged, “Police unions must root out racism wherever it rears its ugly head and root out any racist individual from our profession.”

On the same day the ad ran, the union had an entirely different message (“Facing criticism, police union unleashes its ‘pit bull,'”) for its 9,900 members:

“The CHIEF! Never sell out and back the troops!” said a Facebook post by Los Angeles Police Protective League board member Jamie McBride. The message accompanied a video of Daryl F. Gates, a former LAPD chief who ran a department plagued by excessive force and brutal relations with communities of color.

That kind of defiant pose has become a trademark for McBride over a 30-year career in the Los Angeles Police Department and six years on the board of the powerful union, which uses campaign donations to influence city elections. The Police Protective League puts McBride in front of the news media to signal that rank-and-file officers have had enough of the city’s left-leaning political leadership.

The veteran detective exudes the swagger and tribal brio of the old-school LAPD. He was a street cop with a disproportionate number of on-duty shootings and an investigator who fought management discipline (including his own) and won, and he remains a sometime actor who plays street thugs and tough cops in movies and on television.

His frequent and public Facebook posts yearn for a bygone era when the LAPD wasn’t under attack by what old-timers view as a cadre of timid chiefs, desk-bound geeks and opportunistic politicians.

A 2018 post on McBride’s Facebook page, touting the “good ol days,” features an armored vehicle, gunfire, tasers, body slams, car crashes, rivers of blood, and corpses – all to the tune of the Rolling Stones’ ‘Gimme Shelter.’ At least not all the lawbreakers are Black or Latino.

“What you see in this video is a joy in search-and-destroy policing. … It’s not about protection. It’s not about safety. It’s warrior enforcement,” said Connie Rice, a civil rights lawyer who has worked with the department on reform measures.

Of officers like McBride, Rice added: “That’s the kind of policing they enjoy. That’s what they live for. … What the protesters are saying is: ‘Time’s up for that. It’s over.’ The consent of the governed for that kind of policing is done.”

McBride said that the video shows an earlier era of policing but that he acknowledges a need for change. “We as a department have instituted hundreds of reforms, yet there is more we can do,” he said.

The phrase, “hundreds of reforms,” is a tell, suggesting that it’s time to consider something more fundamental than a checklist of ‘reforms’ to eliminate us-against-them policing. Although Los Angeles is hardly ready to defund the police, the City Council just voted to cut $150 million from the police budget.

Supporters of Black Lives Matter-Los Angeles, who have proposed cuts of 90 to 100% of police funding, derided the action:

“That is literally pocket change,” said Rebecca Kessler, a resident of Van Nuys who called in to the council this week. “It’s a slap in the face. You need to defund the police, take way more money, put way more money into these programs.”

LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa reached his goal of increasing the size of LAPD to 10,000 officers in 2013. That’s not that many cops for the sprawling city of Los Angeles. At the time, I regarded this as sound policy. With today’s budget cut, the force will eventually fall to 9,757.

When the troubled city of Camden, New Jersey disbanded its police department in 2013, and reconstituted it as a county agency, it saved money (by withdrawing from a union contract) and the force grew from 250 to 400. That’s a model I might have endorsed a month ago – staffing up and retraining.

But the route Los Angeles seems headed for – pioneered by Eugene, Oregon in 1989! – may be more promising. When residents call 911, the dispatcher has a choice: send police (if an armed response is needed); otherwise, send a team consisting of a medic and a crisis worker – from the nonprofit, Crisis Assistance Helping Out On The Streets (CAHOOTS).

Last year CAHOOTS handled 20% of 911 calls in Eugene and the neighboring city of Springfield. Denver and Olympia, Washington have embraced a similar model.

In Los Angeles many 911 calls involve mental health crises, substance abuse, homeless individuals — often nonviolent situations. There is no compelling reason for armed police officers to respond to these calls. Further, the police are receptive to an approach that designates another responder.

Los Angeles police union officials have welcomed the idea of spreading around calls for service to other agencies more equipped to handle mental health-related calls. In 2019, LAPD statistics show, officers responded to 1.9 million calls for service, with 20,758 of those related to mental-health issues, a 2 percent increase from the previous year.

“We have gone from asking the police to be part of the solution, to being the only solution for problems they should not be called on to solve in the first place,” wrote the authors of the Los Angeles City Council that directed city staffers to look to Eugene for answers.

(Image: KCAL.)